The Quince Health Policy Analysis and Evidence-based Public Health
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The Quince ...

 Issue 15.

In This Issue

How do we fit evidence into a ward round?
Pain killers in dysmenorrhoea
NNTs (numbers needed to treat)
Urinary catheters
Laparoscopic appendicectomy

How do we fit evidence into a ward round?

Dr Scott Richardson recently described his answer to this problem. He suggested that there are three levels of personal involvement with the evidence that a clinician may have:

'Applying': Where the clinician applies the recommendations, clinical routines and practice policies that others formulate, after these others find/appraise/synthesise the evidence. The emphasis is then on individualising care to fit the patient's particular circumstances (biologic factors, psychological state, social situation,etc)

'Using': Where the clinician finds up-to-date summaries of evidence, that others have searched/appraised/synthesized, and uses these summaries to build clinical routines and practice policies themselves. The clinician then applies these policies to the patient's predicament.

'Appraising': Where the clinician searches for original research evidence, appraises it, synthesizes it in some fashion, and then uses it to build clinical policies, which then get applied to the clinical situation.

These are arranged in order of increasing degree of involvement with the evidence, and of increasing resource use (mainly of time) and skills required.

He says that he has just finished a month auditing the admissions to check on this question. Early results suggest that they did much more ‘applying’ clinical routines/practice policies than the other approaches.

He would like to hear of others who have completed similar audits of their own clinical practices at his e-mail address:  wscottr@verdict.uthscsa.edu

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Pain killers in dysmenorrhoea

Bandolier in November 1998 had a section on painkillers for painful periods. Dysmenorrhoea affects many women of reproductive age, and is a frequent cause of time lost from work or school as well as interfering with daily living. A systematic review tells us how effective painkillers are for primary dysmenorrhoea.

The results for pain relief show that compared with placebo, naproxen (550 or 275 mg four times daily), ibuprofen (400 mg four times daily) and mefenamic acid (250-500 mg four times daily) had numbers needed to treat of between 2.4 and 3.0, with overlapping 95% confidence intervals, indicating no real difference between them. Five trials of aspirin (650 mg four times daily) had a much higher NNT of 9.2, with no overlap of confidence intervals with the NSAIDS. One comparison between paracetamol (650 mg four times daily) and placebo showed no difference between them.

Women taking naproxen or ibuprofen were less likely to have restrictions of daily living. The NNTs were 3.8 (3.2 to 4.6) for naproxen and 2.4 (1.9 to 3.2) for ibuprofen. Aspirin did not have this beneficial effect, and the point estimate for the NNT was 8. There were no data on mefenamic acid.

Naproxen reduced greatly (by about 70%) the amount of time away from work or school. The NNT was 3.9 (3.3 to 4.6). One study on ibuprofen mirrored this effect, and one study on aspirin did not have this beneficial effect. There were no data on mefenamic acid.

This systematic review demonstrated that naproxen, ibuprofen and mefenamic acid are effective. Aspirin was less effective and paracetamol 650 mg was not effective in a single study. Ibuprofen is probably the treatment of choice.

Ref to Bandolier generally

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NNTs (numbers needed to treat)

Some of the Community health council readers of Bandolier have asked for an explanation of the term ‘Numbers Needed to Treat (NNTs).’ Put simply NNTs tell one the likely number of cases who need to receive a particular treatment for one to receive benefit. The lower the number, the more effective the treatment.

But the NNT is only an average. The evidence for the use of a drug may be from a small sample. To take this into account we use ‘confidence intervals’ or CIs, usually set at 95%. An NNT of 2.4 (1.9 - 3.2), for ibuprofen in allowing women to carry out normal activities of daily living was quoted in the previous article. This means that in similar circumstances to the original trials after treating (on average) 2.4 women one would expect to see one receive benefit. It would be unusual for that number to be lower than 1.9 or higher than 3.2 women treated. The odds against this happening are 20:1, a pretty long shot.

An NNT of about 2 means that the drug is very effective. The confidence intervals are close to the original number. This reflects the fact that there were a good number of patients treated in the original trials and one can therefore have a lot of confidence in the NNT figure.

Ref to Bandolier generally

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Urinary catheters

Bandolier in December had an article worth repeating on urinary catheters.

Apparently about one hospital patient in four has an indwelling urinary catheter. Urinary catheters are associated with urinary tract infection in about 5% of those with an indwelling catheter. Therefore out of every 1000 patients in hospital, about 12 will have urinary tract infection because of their indwelling urinary catheter.

Work has been done to give the catheters themselves antimicrobial properties, either by incorporating antibiotic drugs onto the surface of the catheters using chemical methods or by using silver-coated catheters because of the antimicrobial actions of silver.

In terms of effectiveness a meta-analysis of silver catheters says yes and no, depending on the type of silver coating employed.

For silver alloy catheters, 11% of patients had bacteriuria, compared with 32% with uncoated catheters . The NNT with a silver-alloy coated catheter to prevent one case of bacteriuria was 4.6.

For silver oxide catheters, 12% of patients had bacteriuria, compared with 14% with uncoated catheters. The NNT with a silver-oxide coated catheter to prevent one case of bacteriuria was 51, obviously very poor compared with the silver alloy coated.

This paper makes you think, especially about issues like technology creep, where innovations may be small in their costs and consequences, but where the pennies add into many pounds because the problem is common. it also makes you think we should be working out the cost-effectiveness equations better, and faster, than we seem to be doing now.

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Laporoscopic appendicectomy

A meta-analysis of 28 trials showed on average 8% of operations were converted to open appendectomy. Operating time was 16 minutes longer for laparoscopy, the length of hospital stay was 15 hours less, return to full activity 6.5 days earlier than with conventional appendectomy. Wound infections were less frequent with laparoscopy intra-abdominal abscesses a little commoner. It is more expensive and needs more careful surgeon training.

The issues are Important when as many as 1 in 12 of us will have our appendix out in our lifetime. The study ends with a quote ‘Laparoscopic appendectomy is an excellent operation, but we don't need it’!

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Last updated:

Copyright 2003 | Norman Vetter


Send mail to njvetter@hotmail.com with questions or comments